2025 Recession Forecasting. Despite relatively high interest rates and rising unemployment, the chance of a 2025 recession is estimated to be low. With inflation coming down, j.p morgan research now sees a 30% chance the fed.


2025 Recession Forecasting

Sifma says nearly half of roundtable members believe the odds of a recession in 2025 to be 15% or less, while another third estimate that the likelihood of a recession is between 15% and 30%. Atlanta federal reserve gdpnow real gdp estimate for fourth quarter 2024, seasonally.

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